My Model
UPDATED —
NIGHT MODE
DAY MODE
Simulation Updates
NOT_REQUIRED Wave Split Update
For rounds 3&4 there are no clearly defined waves, but we are accounting for the predicted weather during each golfer's time on the course. (read more).
NOT_REQUIRED General Info
The tournament is currently delayed overnight. The model does not account for golfers' current position on a hole: e.g. if they have hit their drive out of bounds the model is still predicting as if they haven't started the hole. The remainder-of-event simulations take into account all remaining holes (including those from the unfinished round).
parsing csv file
My Simulations
What's included in each simulation?
sim name
sim status
run time
actions (hover on icons for info)
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Customization Options NEW
Customize the size of your course history & fit adjustments...
COURSE HIST
COURSE FIT
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
HELP
Set the morning wave's advantage in rounds 1 & 2.
R1 SPLIT
R2 SPLIT
Customize the course fit profile at Memorial Park Golf Course...
Use the right-hand panel to specify the predictive power of each attribute in determining overall success (i.e. total strokes-gained) at this course. A value of 0 means a skill has zero predictive power, while a value of 1 is the most predictive attribute-course combination we've estimated on the PGA Tour (driving distance at Bethpage Black).

The orange shape is your course fit profile, and the accompanying player-specific estimates will be shown in Column F below. The blue shape is the Data Golf profile, which we calculate using historical data and can be explored in greater detail here. Lastly, the black shapewhite shape is the course fit profile of the typical PGA Tour course.
Avg PGA Tour Course
Data Golf Fit Profile
My Fit Profile
10.750.50.25DrivingDistanceDrivingAccuracyApproachAroundGreenPutting
DRIVING DISTANCE
DRIVING ACCURACY
APPROACH
AROUND GREEN
PUTTING
PGA Texas Children's Houston Open
Other Tours
sim name cannot be empty.
SAVED
REVERT TO LAST SAVE
RESET SHEET
RUN
RUN SIM
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TEMPLATE
To get full access to this table and run custom full-field simulations, you must become a Scratch PLUS member.
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
0
player_name
tee_time
decay sticky sliders
baseline
ch_adj
cf_adj
manual_adj
final
notes
1
scottie scheffler 18417
1:03 pm
2.599
+0.07
-0.02
2.650
2
rory mcilroy 10091
7:53 am
2.215
-0.04
+0.06
2.232
3
aaron rai 18554
1:36 pm
1.324
+0.10
-0.07
1.362
4
j.j. spaun 17536
12:41 pm
1.22
+0.02
-0.00
1.240
5
davis thompson 27364
1:14 pm
1.153
+0.03
+0.00
1.186
6
stop peeking 5
1:47 pm
1.056
+0.03
+0.01
1.091
7
stop peeking 6
1:03 pm
1.045
-0.01
-0.02
1.013
8
stop peeking 7
12:52 pm
0.999
+0.01
-0.00
1.001
9
stop peeking 8
1:36 pm
0.972
-0.03
+0.04
0.973
10
stop peeking 9
1:03 pm
0.963
+0.02
-0.03
0.957
11
stop peeking 10
8:15 am
0.931
-0.04
+0.06
0.944
12
stop peeking 11
1:47 pm
0.881
+0.06
+0.00
0.942
13
stop peeking 12
1:25 pm
0.843
+0.06
+0.00
0.902
14
stop peeking 13
7:20 am
0.861
+0.04
-0.02
0.888
15
stop peeking 14
1:14 pm
0.773
+0.09
+0.02
0.884
16
stop peeking 15
1:14 pm
0.75
+0.10
+0.03
0.873
17
stop peeking 16
8:04 am
0.789
+0.04
+0.02
0.850
18
stop peeking 17
7:53 am
0.785
+0.02
+0.02
0.825
19
stop peeking 18
1:36 pm
0.815
+0.01
-0.00
0.821
20
stop peeking 19
7:53 am
0.705
+0.06
+0.05
0.813
21
stop peeking 20
1:14 pm
0.761
+0.02
+0.02
0.800
22
stop peeking 21
7:53 am
0.664
+0.06
+0.01
0.734
23
stop peeking 22
12:41 pm
0.693
+0.00
+0.04
0.740
24
stop peeking 23
9:32 am
0.748
+0.02
-0.04
0.734
25
stop peeking 24
1:14 pm
0.746
-0.04
+0.02
0.725
26
stop peeking 25
1:47 pm
0.698
-0.00
+0.00
0.697
27
stop peeking 26
7:20 am
0.703
-0.01
-0.00
0.685
28
stop peeking 27
8:37 am
0.502
+0.13
+0.01
0.642
29
stop peeking 28
1:36 pm
0.686
-0.04
-0.01
0.629
30
stop peeking 29
8:37 am
0.542
+0.04
+0.01
0.593
31
stop peeking 30
7:53 am
0.56
-0.01
+0.04
0.588
32
stop peeking 31
1:25 pm
0.577
-0.01
-0.04
0.524
33
stop peeking 32
7:31 am
0.568
-0.04
-0.02
0.508
34
stop peeking 33
8:15 am
0.501
-0.01
-0.01
0.488
35
stop peeking 34
7:42 am
0.403
+0.02
+0.05
0.469
36
stop peeking 35
12:52 pm
0.462
-0.01
+0.02
0.471
37
stop peeking 36
12:52 pm
0.429
-0.04
+0.05
0.434
38
stop peeking 37
8:04 am
0.478
-0.03
-0.01
0.435
39
stop peeking 38
1:58 pm
0.458
-0.03
+0.01
0.432
40
stop peeking 39
9:10 am
0.457
-0.06
+0.00
0.401
41
stop peeking 40
7:20 am
0.317
+0.06
-0.03
0.347
42
stop peeking 41
8:48 am
0.393
-0.03
-0.03
0.333
43
stop peeking 42
8:59 am
0.291
-0.04
+0.08
0.328
44
stop peeking 43
8:48 am
0.379
-0.07
+0.01
0.315
45
stop peeking 44
1:25 pm
0.396
-0.04
-0.04
0.316
46
stop peeking 45
1:25 pm
0.36
-0.05
+0.01
0.317
47
stop peeking 46
12:30 pm
0.312
+0.01
+0.00
0.318
48
stop peeking 47
9:32 am
0.365
-0.04
-0.00
0.318
49
stop peeking 48
8:59 am
0.304
-0.04
+0.05
0.311
50
stop peeking 49
12:41 pm
0.277
+0.00
+0.02
0.305
51
stop peeking 50
12:52 pm
0.283
-0.04
+0.06
0.304
52
stop peeking 51
7:42 am
0.367
-0.04
-0.02
0.299
53
stop peeking 52
8:37 am
0.273
-0.04
+0.05
0.288
54
stop peeking 53
1:58 pm
0.278
+0.01
-0.01
0.280
55
stop peeking 54
12:52 pm
0.258
-0.02
+0.03
0.263
56
stop peeking 55
8:04 am
0.25
-0.04
+0.05
0.258
57
stop peeking 56
8:04 am
0.289
-0.01
-0.02
0.260
58
stop peeking 57
7:31 am
0.303
-0.01
-0.04
0.261
59
stop peeking 58
1:58 pm
0.275
-0.04
+0.02
0.253
60
stop peeking 59
8:26 am
0.126
+0.06
+0.05
0.236
61
stop peeking 60
7:42 am
0.244
-0.03
-0.00
0.210
62
stop peeking 61
7:31 am
0.212
+0.01
-0.02
0.202
63
stop peeking 62
12:30 pm
0.12
+0.00
+0.04
0.159
64
stop peeking 63
1:03 pm
0.213
-0.04
-0.00
0.165
65
stop peeking 64
8:04 am
0.213
-0.03
-0.02
0.158
66
stop peeking 65
1:47 pm
0.171
-0.01
-0.01
0.150
67
stop peeking 66
9:10 am
0.159
-0.03
+0.01
0.143
68
stop peeking 67
2:31 pm
0.107
+0.00
+0.03
0.137
69
stop peeking 68
1:25 pm
0.017
+0.05
+0.05
0.112
70
stop peeking 69
9:10 am
0.119
-0.04
+0.03
0.105
71
stop peeking 70
9:21 am
0.208
-0.04
-0.06
0.100
72
stop peeking 71
8:48 am
0.17
-0.04
-0.04
0.096
73
stop peeking 72
7:31 am
0.069
+0.01
+0.01
0.089
74
stop peeking 73
1:36 pm
0.093
+0.01
-0.03
0.069
75
stop peeking 74
2:42 pm
0.058
-0.04
+0.04
0.054
76
stop peeking 75
9:21 am
0.08
-0.04
+0.01
0.043
77
stop peeking 76
12:41 pm
0.095
-0.02
-0.04
0.039
78
stop peeking 77
2:31 pm
0.042
-0.04
+0.03
0.031
79
stop peeking 78
2:42 pm
-0.017
-0.00
+0.05
0.030
80
stop peeking 79
8:37 am
-0.047
-0.02
+0.09
0.020
81
stop peeking 80
8:15 am
-0.04
+0.01
-0.01
-0.038
82
stop peeking 81
1:58 pm
-0.021
-0.04
+0.03
-0.039
83
stop peeking 82
1:03 pm
-0.192
+0.09
+0.04
-0.064
84
stop peeking 83
2:31 pm
-0.083
-0.03
+0.05
-0.065
85
stop peeking 84
1:47 pm
-0.059
-0.01
-0.02
-0.089
86
stop peeking 85
8:37 am
-0.065
-0.01
-0.02
-0.098
87
stop peeking 86
12:30 pm
-0.136
-0.00
+0.00
-0.134
88
stop peeking 87
8:26 am
-0.071
-0.04
-0.03
-0.134
89
stop peeking 88
8:26 am
-0.185
+0.01
+0.03
-0.147
90
stop peeking 89
12:30 pm
-0.217
-0.04
+0.11
-0.155
91
stop peeking 90
9:32 am
-0.191
-0.04
+0.06
-0.174
92
stop peeking 91
7:42 am
-0.292
+0.03
+0.07
-0.193
93
stop peeking 92
9:32 am
-0.19
-0.04
+0.03
-0.197
94
stop peeking 93
8:15 am
-0.204
-0.04
+0.05
-0.195
95
stop peeking 94
9:32 am
-0.138
-0.04
-0.02
-0.204
96
stop peeking 95
1:36 pm
-0.245
-0.03
+0.03
-0.239
97
stop peeking 96
7:20 am
-0.135
-0.04
-0.06
-0.242
98
stop peeking 97
2:09 pm
-0.232
-0.04
-0.01
-0.289
99
stop peeking 98
8:48 am
-0.299
-0.00
-0.01
-0.307
100
stop peeking 99
12:41 pm
-0.291
+0.01
-0.03
-0.310
101
stop peeking 100
2:20 pm
-0.236
-0.04
-0.04
-0.324
102
stop peeking 101
12:30 pm
-0.329
+0.03
-0.03
-0.331
103
stop peeking 102
1:25 pm
-0.35
+0.03
-0.01
-0.331
104
stop peeking 103
8:26 am
-0.324
+0.02
-0.08
-0.381
105
stop peeking 104
8:59 am
-0.474
+0.03
+0.07
-0.376
106
stop peeking 105
9:10 am
-0.348
-0.04
-0.00
-0.393
107
stop peeking 106
8:04 am
-0.41
-0.01
+0.03
-0.395
108
stop peeking 107
8:48 am
-0.344
-0.05
-0.03
-0.425
109
stop peeking 108
9:21 am
-0.425
-0.04
+0.04
-0.430
110
stop peeking 109
1:58 pm
-0.511
+0.01
+0.04
-0.458
111
stop peeking 110
7:53 am
-0.533
+0.02
+0.04
-0.475
112
stop peeking 111
7:20 am
-0.428
-0.04
-0.00
-0.474
113
stop peeking 112
1:14 pm
-0.378
-0.02
-0.08
-0.486
114
stop peeking 113
2:09 pm
-0.505
-0.04
+0.02
-0.530
115
stop peeking 114
2:09 pm
-0.564
-0.04
+0.03
-0.575
116
stop peeking 115
12:52 pm
-0.595
+0.04
-0.02
-0.580
117
stop peeking 116
7:42 am
-0.507
-0.08
-0.01
-0.592
118
stop peeking 117
2:20 pm
-0.669
-0.04
+0.07
-0.648
119
stop peeking 118
12:41 pm
-0.661
+0.01
+0.01
-0.647
120
stop peeking 119
12:30 pm
-0.604
-0.00
-0.04
-0.651
121
stop peeking 120
7:31 am
-0.676
-0.02
+0.03
-0.663
122
stop peeking 121
2:42 pm
-0.58
-0.04
-0.06
-0.686
123
stop peeking 122
9:10 am
-0.571
-0.04
-0.11
-0.721
124
stop peeking 123
9:21 am
-0.753
-0.04
+0.04
-0.752
125
stop peeking 124
2:20 pm
-0.908
+0.01
+0.11
-0.786
126
stop peeking 125
7:20 am
-0.776
-0.04
+0.01
-0.804
127
stop peeking 126
2:31 pm
-0.758
-0.04
+0.01
-0.793
128
stop peeking 127
1:58 pm
-0.756
-0.06
-0.01
-0.829
129
stop peeking 128
8:59 am
-0.789
-0.04
-0.01
-0.842
130
stop peeking 129
8:26 am
-0.797
-0.05
-0.02
-0.869
131
stop peeking 130
8:59 am
-0.914
-0.04
+0.04
-0.915
132
stop peeking 131
9:10 am
-0.915
-0.04
+0.00
-0.954
133
stop peeking 132
9:32 am
-0.986
-0.04
+0.06
-0.974
134
stop peeking 133
8:26 am
-1.011
+0.05
-0.05
-1.011
135
stop peeking 134
2:42 pm
-0.981
-0.04
-0.01
-1.036
136
stop peeking 135
1:47 pm
-1.099
+0.03
+0.03
-1.038
137
stop peeking 136
2:09 pm
-1.032
-0.04
+0.01
-1.065
138
stop peeking 137
2:09 pm
-1.061
-0.04
-0.00
-1.109
139
stop peeking 138
8:15 am
-1.163
-0.01
+0.02
-1.151
140
stop peeking 139
2:20 pm
-1.11
-0.04
-0.00
-1.157
141
stop peeking 140
1:03 pm
-1.392
-0.06
+0.04
-1.412
142
stop peeking 141
9:21 am
-1.43
-0.04
+0.03
-1.447
143
stop peeking 142
8:37 am
-1.41
-0.04
-0.04
-1.490
144
stop peeking 143
8:48 am
-1.474
-0.08
+0.04
-1.520
145
stop peeking 144
2:20 pm
-1.538
-0.05
+0.01
-1.573
146
stop peeking 145
2:31 pm
-1.704
+0.00
+0.06
-1.642
147
stop peeking 146
7:42 am
-1.68
+0.01
-0.01
-1.683
148
stop peeking 147
8:59 am
-1.756
-0.05
-0.01
-1.815
149
stop peeking 148
7:31 am
-2.102
+0.00
+0.02
-2.078
150
stop peeking 149
2:31 pm
-2.562
-0.04
-0.01
-2.612
151
stop peeking 150
2:20 pm
-2.663
-0.04
+0.02
-2.688
152
stop peeking 151
2:42 pm
-2.979
-0.04
+0.15
-2.873
153
stop peeking 152
9:21 am
-3.203
-0.04
+0.04
-3.202
154
stop peeking 153
2:09 pm
-3.79
-0.04
+0.02
-3.818