PGA Pre-Tournament Predictions
UPDATED —
NIGHT MODE
DAY MODE
Simulation Updates
NOT_REQUIRED Wave Split Update
For rounds 3&4 there are no clearly defined waves, but we are accounting for the predicted weather during each golfer's time on the course. (read more).
NOT_REQUIRED General Info
The tournament is currently delayed overnight. The model does not account for golfers' current position on a hole: e.g. if they have hit their drive out of bounds the model is still predicting as if they haven't started the hole. The remainder-of-event simulations take into account all remaining holes (including those from the unfinished round).
Texas Children's Houston Open
ODDS FORMAT:
SELECT MODEL
BASELINE MODEL
BASELINE + COURSE HISTORY + COURSE FIT
DEAD-HEAT PROBABILITIESDEAD-HEATS
NEW
PROBABILITY OF FINISHING
To get full access to our pre-tournament predictions you must become a Scratch Member.
PLAYER
MAKE CUT
TOP 20
TOP 10
TOP 5
WIN
--
88.0%
68.1%
52.6%
38.4%
15.0%
85.5%
60.2%
44.1%
30.2%
10.3%
71.3%
35.7%
21.6%
12.1%
2.7%
70.9%
33.8%
19.6%
10.9%
2.3%
69.3%
32.0%
18.5%
10.1%
2.2%
66.2%
29.4%
16.7%
9.1%
1.9%
66.5%
28.8%
16.2%
8.8%
1.8%
66.3%
28.5%
15.9%
8.4%
1.7%
65.6%
26.6%
14.8%
8.0%
1.7%
67.6%
28.6%
15.8%
8.3%
1.6%
65.9%
26.6%
14.6%
7.7%
1.6%
63.8%
26.1%
14.3%
7.5%
1.5%
68.2%
27.6%
15.1%
7.9%
1.5%
63.9%
25.9%
14.2%
7.5%
1.5%
65.0%
26.7%
14.5%
7.5%
1.5%
65.7%
26.3%
14.3%
7.4%
1.5%
65.6%
26.8%
14.4%
7.5%
1.4%
64.5%
24.8%
13.3%
6.9%
1.3%
63.6%
25.3%
13.7%
7.1%
1.3%
63.6%
25.2%
13.6%
7.0%
1.3%
64.5%
24.0%
12.8%
6.5%
1.3%
62.2%
24.2%
13.1%
6.8%
1.2%
62.0%
24.0%
12.8%
6.5%
1.2%
62.1%
23.0%
12.0%
6.2%
1.1%
62.0%
22.5%
11.8%
5.9%
1.1%
62.2%
22.7%
11.6%
5.8%
1.1%
61.4%
21.9%
11.4%
5.8%
1.1%
60.8%
22.2%
11.6%
5.7%
1.0%
60.9%
20.8%
10.6%
5.2%
1.0%
59.9%
19.9%
10.2%
5.0%
0.9%
59.2%
20.4%
10.3%
4.9%
0.9%
58.5%
20.0%
10.3%
5.0%
0.9%
56.5%
18.3%
9.0%
4.4%
0.8%
59.7%
19.1%
9.5%
4.7%
0.8%
58.6%
18.3%
8.9%
4.2%
0.7%
60.9%
19.1%
9.2%
4.3%
0.7%
58.0%
17.4%
8.4%
4.0%
0.7%
57.2%
17.8%
8.5%
4.0%
0.6%
54.9%
16.2%
7.7%
3.6%
0.6%
55.4%
16.0%
7.8%
3.7%
0.6%
55.6%
16.4%
7.8%
3.7%
0.6%
56.7%
16.7%
7.9%
3.6%
0.6%
53.8%
16.3%
7.8%
3.6%
0.6%
55.3%
15.9%
7.6%
3.5%
0.6%
56.2%
17.2%
8.2%
3.8%
0.6%
54.5%
15.9%
7.6%
3.5%
0.6%
55.4%
16.3%
7.8%
3.7%
0.6%
54.8%
15.7%
7.5%
3.4%
0.6%
55.0%
14.9%
6.8%
3.2%
0.5%
54.4%
15.6%
7.3%
3.3%
0.5%
56.3%
16.1%
7.5%
3.4%
0.5%
56.7%
16.5%
8.0%
3.8%
0.5%
53.5%
15.3%
7.3%
3.4%
0.5%
54.5%
15.5%
7.3%
3.3%
0.5%
54.4%
15.1%
7.0%
3.2%
0.5%
53.9%
15.3%
7.1%
3.4%
0.5%
54.9%
15.1%
7.1%
3.3%
0.5%
53.0%
14.9%
6.8%
3.1%
0.5%
50.2%
13.4%
6.1%
2.8%
0.5%
51.0%
14.1%
6.5%
3.0%
0.4%
53.2%
14.6%
6.7%
3.0%
0.4%
52.9%
13.4%
6.2%
2.8%
0.4%
53.0%
14.6%
6.7%
3.0%
0.4%
48.8%
12.3%
5.7%
2.5%
0.4%
50.3%
13.3%
6.1%
2.7%
0.4%
51.4%
13.1%
5.8%
2.6%
0.4%
50.8%
12.9%
5.8%
2.6%
0.4%
47.8%
12.0%
5.3%
2.3%
0.4%
53.7%
13.9%
6.2%
2.8%
0.4%
51.6%
13.0%
5.9%
2.6%
0.4%
51.3%
12.7%
5.6%
2.5%
0.4%
50.9%
12.6%
5.6%
2.4%
0.4%
46.9%
11.1%
5.0%
2.3%
0.4%
49.8%
12.1%
5.4%
2.4%
0.4%
49.6%
11.5%
5.0%
2.2%
0.3%
48.8%
11.9%
5.2%
2.2%
0.3%
47.8%
11.2%
4.8%
2.1%
0.3%
48.9%
12.1%
5.3%
2.4%
0.3%
46.0%
11.0%
4.7%
2.0%
0.3%
47.2%
10.3%
4.6%
2.0%
0.3%
46.9%
11.1%
4.9%
2.1%
0.3%
47.8%
10.6%
4.5%
1.9%
0.3%
49.7%
11.5%
4.8%
2.0%
0.3%
45.6%
9.5%
4.0%
1.7%
0.3%
44.4%
9.6%
4.0%
1.7%
0.3%
45.5%
9.6%
4.0%
1.7%
0.3%
45.1%
9.4%
4.0%
1.7%
0.3%
45.9%
10.2%
4.3%
1.9%
0.2%
47.0%
10.1%
4.3%
1.9%
0.2%
44.9%
9.1%
3.8%
1.5%
0.2%
46.3%
9.7%
4.1%
1.8%
0.2%
44.5%
9.7%
4.1%
1.7%
0.2%
44.2%
9.1%
3.8%
1.5%
0.2%
47.4%
9.7%
4.0%
1.7%
0.2%
44.8%
8.9%
3.8%
1.5%
0.2%
46.7%
9.7%
4.0%
1.7%
0.2%
42.2%
7.8%
3.1%
1.3%
0.2%
43.3%
8.2%
3.3%
1.3%
0.2%
40.1%
7.4%
3.0%
1.2%
0.2%
40.8%
7.3%
3.0%
1.2%
0.2%
42.2%
7.2%
2.8%
1.1%
0.2%
39.7%
7.2%
2.9%
1.2%
0.2%
43.0%
7.5%
3.0%
1.2%
0.2%
42.6%
7.1%
2.8%
1.1%
0.1%
41.9%
7.6%
2.9%
1.2%
0.1%
40.1%
6.5%
2.5%
1.0%
0.1%
42.0%
7.3%
2.9%
1.2%
0.1%
42.0%
7.6%
3.0%
1.2%
0.1%
41.6%
7.1%
2.7%
1.1%
0.1%
41.9%
7.1%
2.9%
1.2%
0.1%
41.4%
7.0%
2.7%
1.0%
0.1%
39.1%
5.7%
2.1%
0.8%
0.1%
40.7%
6.8%
2.7%
1.1%
0.1%
37.1%
6.2%
2.4%
0.9%
0.1%
37.0%
5.1%
1.9%
0.7%
0.1%
38.0%
6.0%
2.3%
0.9%
0.1%
35.9%
5.0%
1.8%
0.7%
0.1%
35.4%
5.3%
2.0%
0.8%
0.1%
36.7%
5.1%
1.9%
0.7%
0.1%
33.5%
4.7%
1.7%
0.7%
0.1%
34.8%
5.0%
1.8%
0.7%
0.1%
32.7%
4.3%
1.6%
0.6%
0.1%
30.9%
3.7%
1.3%
0.5%
0.1%
35.6%
4.9%
1.8%
0.7%
0.1%
30.9%
3.4%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
30.8%
3.8%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
30.0%
3.6%
1.2%
0.5%
0.1%
33.1%
3.9%
1.3%
0.5%
0.1%
35.0%
4.5%
1.6%
0.6%
0.1%
33.4%
3.8%
1.3%
0.5%
0.0%
31.8%
3.5%
1.2%
0.4%
0.0%
31.0%
3.4%
1.1%
0.4%
0.0%
29.3%
2.7%
0.9%
0.3%
0.0%
35.0%
4.2%
1.4%
0.5%
0.0%
30.0%
3.0%
1.0%
0.3%
0.0%
27.5%
2.7%
1.0%
0.3%
0.0%
26.0%
2.5%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
26.6%
2.5%
0.8%
0.3%
0.0%
26.8%
2.5%
0.8%
0.3%
0.0%
25.1%
2.0%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
22.5%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
22.4%
1.5%
0.4%
0.2%
0.0%
17.9%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
23.0%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
21.3%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
22.5%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
17.7%
0.9%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
18.8%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
16.3%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
7.5%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
2.4%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5.4%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
8.1%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%