Custom Simulation  | FAQs | FAQs
UPDATED —
Custom match-up & 3-ball simulations (along with other betting tools) are only available to Scratch Members.
RESTRICT PLAYERS BY EVENT:
BREAK-EVEN FORMAT
EUROPEAN
EUROPEAN (4.0)
AMERICAN (+300)
IMPLIED % (25%)
Simulation Updates —
PGA Wave Split Update —
Predicted Friday Morning Round 2 advantage: 0.59 strokes. (read more).
OPP Wave Split Update —
Predicted Friday Morning Round 2 advantage: 0.04 strokes. (read more).
EUR Wave Split Update —
Predicted Friday Morning Round 2 advantage: 0.06 strokes. (read more).
EUR General Info —
The tournament is currently delayed overnight. The model does not account for golfers' current position on a hole: e.g. if they have hit their drive out of bounds the model is still predicting as if they haven't started the hole. The remainder-of-event simulations take into account all remaining holes (including those from the unfinished round).
KFT Wave Split Update —
Predicted Thursday Morning Round 1 advantage: 0.61 strokes; Thursday Morning Wave weeklong advantage: -0.03 strokes (total over first 2 rounds). (read more).
MATCH-UP / 2-BALLS
3-BALLS
SIM TYPE
ROUND
EVENT
TIES TREATED AS
VOID
LOSS
HANDICAP STROKES
PLAYER 1
MCILROY RORY
WIN PROBABILITY TIE
---
BREAK-EVEN ODDS
---
ENTER ODDS
or
EXPECTED VALUE
run sim to calculate ev
SIM OPTIONS
SIM TYPE
ROUND
EVENT
TIES TREATED AS
VOID
LOSS
HANDICAP STROKES
PLAYER 2
SCHEFFLER SCOTTIE
WIN PROBABILITY TIE
---
BREAK-EVEN ODDS
---
ENTER ODDS
or
EXPECTED VALUE
run sim to calculate ev
Rory McIlroy and Scottie Scheffler are not in the same event this week; our baseline model (no adjustments for course history/fit) is being used. Simulating as if it is round 1 at a "neutral course". Rory McIlroy and Scottie Scheffler are in the same event this week; our model with course-specific adjustments is being used. This is a simulation of round 2; everything accounted for in the live model is accounted for here. Rory McIlroy and Scottie Scheffler are in the same event this week; since we do not offer a course-specific model for Korn Ferry events, our baseline model is being used. Simulating as if it is round 1 at a "neutral course".
PLAYER 1
FITZPATRICK MATT
WIN PROBABILITY TIE
---
BREAK-EVEN ODDS
---
ENTER ODDS
or
EXPECTED VALUE
run sim to calculate ev
PLAYER 2
FLEETWOOD TOMMY
WIN PROBABILITY TIE
---
BREAK-EVEN ODDS
---
ENTER ODDS
or
EXPECTED VALUE
run sim to calculate ev
PLAYER 3
KIM SI WOO
WIN PROBABILITY TIE
---
BREAK-EVEN ODDS
---
ENTER ODDS
or
EXPECTED VALUE
run sim to calculate ev
Matt Fitzpatrick, Tommy Fleetwood and Si Woo Kim are not all in the same event this week; our baseline model (no adjustments for course history/fit) is being used. Simulating as if it is round 1 at a "neutral course". Matt Fitzpatrick, Tommy Fleetwood and Si Woo Kim are all in the same event this week; our model with course-specific adjustments is being used. This is a simulation of round 2; everything accounted for in the live model is accounted for here. Matt Fitzpatrick, Tommy Fleetwood and Si Woo Kim are all in the same event this week; since we do not offer a course-specific model for Korn Ferry events, our baseline model is being used. Simulating as if it is round 1 at a "neutral course".
Looking to see how our predictions compare to bookmaker offerings? Visit our matchup betting tool. Or, run single-round and tournament simulations with 4+ players on our props page.