Custom SimulationCustom SimFAQs
UPDATED —
NIGHT MODE
DAY MODE
Custom match-up & 3-ball simulations (along with other betting tools) are only available to Scratch Members.
RESTRICT PLAYERS BY EVENT:
Simulation Updates
EUR Wave Split Update
For rounds 3&4 there are no clearly defined waves, but we are accounting for the predicted weather during each golfer's time on the course. (read more).
EUR General Info
The tournament is currently delayed overnight. The model does not account for golfers' current position on a hole: e.g. if they have hit their drive out of bounds the model is still predicting as if they haven't started the hole. The remainder-of-event simulations take into account all remaining holes (including those from the unfinished round).
KFT Field Change
Scott Harrington, Andre Metzger added to the field. Ben Crane, Kris Blanks removed from the field.
KFT Wave Split Update
Predicted Thursday Morning Round 1 advantage: 0.5 strokes; Thursday Morning Wave weeklong advantage: 0.1 strokes (total over first 2 rounds). (read more).
MATCH-UP / 2-BALLS
3-BALLS
SIM TYPE
ROUND
EVENT
TIES TREATED AS
VOID
LOSS
HANDICAP STROKES
PLAYER 1
BEZUIDENHOUT CHRISTIAAN
WIN PROBABILITY TIE
---
BREAK-EVEN ODDS
---
ENTER ODDS
or
EXPECTED VALUE
run sim to calculate ev
SIM OPTIONS
SIM TYPE
ROUND
EVENT
TIES TREATED AS
VOID
LOSS
HANDICAP STROKES
PLAYER 2
PAVON MATTHIEU
WIN PROBABILITY TIE
---
BREAK-EVEN ODDS
---
ENTER ODDS
or
EXPECTED VALUE
run sim to calculate ev
Christiaan Bezuidenhout and Matthieu Pavon are not in the same event this week; our baseline model (no adjustments for course history/fit) is being used. Simulating as if it is round 1 at a "neutral course". Christiaan Bezuidenhout and Matthieu Pavon are in the same event this week; our model with course-specific adjustments is being used. This is a simulation of round 4; everything accounted for in the live model is accounted for here. Christiaan Bezuidenhout and Matthieu Pavon are in the same event this week; since we do not offer a course-specific model for Korn Ferry events, our baseline model is being used. Simulating as if it is round 1 at a "neutral course".
PLAYER 1
KANAYA TAKUMI
WIN PROBABILITY TIE
---
BREAK-EVEN ODDS
---
ENTER ODDS
or
EXPECTED VALUE
run sim to calculate ev
PLAYER 2
NAKAJIMA KEITA
WIN PROBABILITY TIE
---
BREAK-EVEN ODDS
---
ENTER ODDS
or
EXPECTED VALUE
run sim to calculate ev
PLAYER 3
SODERBERG SEBASTIAN
WIN PROBABILITY TIE
---
BREAK-EVEN ODDS
---
ENTER ODDS
or
EXPECTED VALUE
run sim to calculate ev
Takumi Kanaya, Keita Nakajima and Sebastian Soderberg are not all in the same event this week; our baseline model (no adjustments for course history/fit) is being used. Simulating as if it is round 1 at a "neutral course". Takumi Kanaya, Keita Nakajima and Sebastian Soderberg are all in the same event this week; our model with course-specific adjustments is being used. This is a simulation of round 4; everything accounted for in the live model is accounted for here. Takumi Kanaya, Keita Nakajima and Sebastian Soderberg are all in the same event this week; since we do not offer a course-specific model for Korn Ferry events, our baseline model is being used. Simulating as if it is round 1 at a "neutral course".
Looking to see how our predictions compare to bookmaker offerings? Visit our matchup betting tool. Or, run single-round and tournament simulations with 4+ players on our props page.