Custom SimulationCustom SimFAQs
UPDATED —
NIGHT MODE
DAY MODE
Custom match-up & 3-ball simulations (along with other betting tools) are only available to Scratch Members.
RESTRICT PLAYERS BY EVENT:
Simulation Updates
PGA Wave Split Update
For rounds 3&4 there are no clearly defined waves, but we are accounting for the predicted weather during each golfer's time on the course. (read more).
PGA General Info
The tournament is currently delayed overnight. The model does not account for golfers' current position on a hole: e.g. if they have hit their drive out of bounds the model is still predicting as if they haven't started the hole. The remainder-of-event simulations take into account all remaining holes (including those from the unfinished round).
EUR Wave Split Update
For rounds 3&4 there are no clearly defined waves, but we are accounting for the predicted weather during each golfer's time on the course. (read more).
MATCH-UP / 2-BALLS
3-BALLS
SIM TYPE
ROUND
EVENT
TIES TREATED AS
VOID
LOSS
HANDICAP STROKES
PLAYER 1
MCILROY RORY
WIN PROBABILITY TIE
---
BREAK-EVEN ODDS
---
ENTER ODDS
or
EXPECTED VALUE
run sim to calculate ev
SIM OPTIONS
SIM TYPE
ROUND
EVENT
TIES TREATED AS
VOID
LOSS
HANDICAP STROKES
PLAYER 2
SCHEFFLER SCOTTIE
WIN PROBABILITY TIE
---
BREAK-EVEN ODDS
---
ENTER ODDS
or
EXPECTED VALUE
run sim to calculate ev
Rory McIlroy and Scottie Scheffler are not in the same event this week; our baseline model (no adjustments for course history/fit) is being used. Simulating as if it is round 1 at a "neutral course". Rory McIlroy and Scottie Scheffler are in the same event this week; our model with course-specific adjustments is being used. This is a simulation of round 3; everything accounted for in the live model is accounted for here. Rory McIlroy and Scottie Scheffler are in the same event this week; since we do not offer a course-specific model for Korn Ferry events, our baseline model is being used. Simulating as if it is round 1 at a "neutral course".
PLAYER 1
KIM MICHAEL
WIN PROBABILITY TIE
---
BREAK-EVEN ODDS
---
ENTER ODDS
or
EXPECTED VALUE
run sim to calculate ev
PLAYER 2
RAI AARON
WIN PROBABILITY TIE
---
BREAK-EVEN ODDS
---
ENTER ODDS
or
EXPECTED VALUE
run sim to calculate ev
PLAYER 3
SPAUN J.J.
WIN PROBABILITY TIE
---
BREAK-EVEN ODDS
---
ENTER ODDS
or
EXPECTED VALUE
run sim to calculate ev
Michael Kim, Aaron Rai and J.J. Spaun are not all in the same event this week; our baseline model (no adjustments for course history/fit) is being used. Simulating as if it is round 1 at a "neutral course". Michael Kim, Aaron Rai and J.J. Spaun are all in the same event this week; our model with course-specific adjustments is being used. This is a simulation of round 3; everything accounted for in the live model is accounted for here. Michael Kim, Aaron Rai and J.J. Spaun are all in the same event this week; since we do not offer a course-specific model for Korn Ferry events, our baseline model is being used. Simulating as if it is round 1 at a "neutral course".
Looking to see how our predictions compare to bookmaker offerings? Visit our matchup betting tool. Or, run single-round and tournament simulations with 4+ players on our props page.