UPDATED —
NIGHT MODE
DAY MODE
Custom match-up & 3-ball simulations (along with other betting tools) are only available to Scratch Members.
RESTRICT PLAYERS BY EVENT:
Simulation Updates —
PGA Wave Split Update —
For rounds 3&4 there are no clearly defined waves, but we are accounting for the predicted weather during each
golfer's time on the course.
(read more).
KFT Wave Split Update —
Predicted Thursday Morning Round 1 advantage: 0.02 strokes; Thursday Morning Wave weeklong advantage: 0.07 strokes (total over first 2 rounds).
(read more).
OPP Wave Split Update —
Predicted Thursday Morning Round 1 advantage: 0.8 strokes; Thursday Morning Wave weeklong advantage: -0.04 strokes (total over first 2 rounds).
(read more).
OPP Field Change —
Bill Haas added to the field. Cody Gribble removed from the field.
OPP Field Change —
Cody Gribble added to the field. Taylor Moore removed from the field.
OPP Field Change —
Tommy Gainey added to the field. Davis Riley removed from the field.
OPP Field Change —
Chaz Aurilia, Jonathan Byrd, Chris Korte, David Longmire, RJ Manke added to the field. Anders Albertson removed from the field.
OPP General Info —
The Barracuda Championship uses a Stableford format, but we've simulated it as a stroke play event.
The differences in finish probabilities between the two formats is not noticeable pre-tournament, but we will not be covering the event live.
PLAYER 1
RAHM JON WIN PROBABILITY TIE
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BREAK-EVEN ODDS
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ENTER ODDS
or
EXPECTED VALUE
run sim to calculate ev
PLAYER 2
SCHEFFLER SCOTTIE WIN PROBABILITY TIE
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BREAK-EVEN ODDS
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ENTER ODDS
or
EXPECTED VALUE
run sim to calculate ev
Jon Rahm and Scottie Scheffler are not in the same event this week; our baseline model (no adjustments for course history/fit) is being used.
Simulating as if it is round 1 at a "neutral course".
Jon Rahm and Scottie Scheffler are in the same event this week; our model with course-specific adjustments is being used.
This is a simulation of round 4; everything accounted for in the live model is accounted for here.
Jon Rahm and Scottie Scheffler are in the same event this week; since we do not offer a course-specific model for Korn Ferry events, our baseline model is being used.
Simulating as if it is round 1 at a "neutral course".
PLAYER 1
DECHAMBEAU BRYSON WIN PROBABILITY TIE
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BREAK-EVEN ODDS
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ENTER ODDS
or
EXPECTED VALUE
run sim to calculate ev
PLAYER 2
FLEETWOOD TOMMY WIN PROBABILITY TIE
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BREAK-EVEN ODDS
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ENTER ODDS
or
EXPECTED VALUE
run sim to calculate ev
PLAYER 3
MCILROY RORY WIN PROBABILITY TIE
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BREAK-EVEN ODDS
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ENTER ODDS
or
EXPECTED VALUE
run sim to calculate ev
Bryson DeChambeau, Tommy Fleetwood and Rory McIlroy are not all in the same event this week; our baseline model (no adjustments for course history/fit) is being used.
Simulating as if it is round 1 at a "neutral course".
Bryson DeChambeau, Tommy Fleetwood and Rory McIlroy are all in the same event this week; our model with course-specific adjustments is being used.
This is a simulation of round 4; everything accounted for in the live model is accounted for here.
Bryson DeChambeau, Tommy Fleetwood and Rory McIlroy are all in the same event this week; since we do not offer a course-specific model for Korn Ferry events, our baseline model is being used. Simulating as if it is round 1 at a "neutral course".
Looking to see how our predictions compare to bookmaker offerings? Visit our matchup betting tool. Or, run single-round and tournament simulations with 4+ players on our props page.