Custom Simulation
Custom match-up & 3-ball simulations (along with other betting tools) are only available to Scratch Members.
RESTRICT PLAYERS BY EVENT:
Simulation Updates —
PGA Wave Split Update —
Predicted Friday Morning Round 2 advantage: 0.12 strokes.
(read more).
KFT Wave Split Update —
Predicted Thursday Morning Round 1 advantage: 0.36 strokes; Thursday Morning Wave weeklong advantage: 0.11 strokes (total over first 2 rounds).
(read more).
KFT Field Change —
Ryan Elmore, Michael Graboyes added to the field. Cameron Champ, Sandy Scott removed from the field.
KFT Field Change —
Tommy Cocha, Beau Breault added to the field. Cole Hammer, Jeremy Paul removed from the field.
KFT Field Change —
Brandon Hoelzer added to the field. Ryan Brehm removed from the field.
PLAYER 1
FITZPATRICK MATT WIN PROBABILITY TIE
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BREAK-EVEN ODDS
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ENTER ODDS
or
EXPECTED VALUE
run sim to calculate ev
PLAYER 2
FLEETWOOD TOMMY WIN PROBABILITY TIE
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BREAK-EVEN ODDS
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ENTER ODDS
or
EXPECTED VALUE
run sim to calculate ev
Matt Fitzpatrick and Tommy Fleetwood are not in the same event this week; our baseline model (no adjustments for course history/fit) is being used.
Simulating as if it is round 1 at a "neutral course".
Matt Fitzpatrick and Tommy Fleetwood are in the same event this week; our model with course-specific adjustments is being used.
This is a simulation of round 2; everything accounted for in the live model is accounted for here.
Matt Fitzpatrick and Tommy Fleetwood are in the same event this week; since we do not offer a course-specific model for Korn Ferry events, our baseline model is being used.
Simulating as if it is round 1 at a "neutral course".
PLAYER 1
BURNS SAM WIN PROBABILITY TIE
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BREAK-EVEN ODDS
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ENTER ODDS
or
EXPECTED VALUE
run sim to calculate ev
PLAYER 2
RAI AARON WIN PROBABILITY TIE
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BREAK-EVEN ODDS
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ENTER ODDS
or
EXPECTED VALUE
run sim to calculate ev
PLAYER 3
REITAN KRISTOFFER WIN PROBABILITY TIE
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BREAK-EVEN ODDS
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ENTER ODDS
or
EXPECTED VALUE
run sim to calculate ev
Sam Burns, Aaron Rai and Kristoffer Reitan are not all in the same event this week; our baseline model (no adjustments for course history/fit) is being used.
Simulating as if it is round 1 at a "neutral course".
Sam Burns, Aaron Rai and Kristoffer Reitan are all in the same event this week; our model with course-specific adjustments is being used.
This is a simulation of round 2; everything accounted for in the live model is accounted for here.
Sam Burns, Aaron Rai and Kristoffer Reitan are all in the same event this week; since we do not offer a course-specific model for Korn Ferry events, our baseline model is being used. Simulating as if it is round 1 at a "neutral course".
Looking to see how our predictions compare to bookmaker offerings? Visit our matchup betting tool. Or, run single-round and tournament simulations with 4+ players on our props page.