UPDATED —
NIGHT MODE
DAY MODE
Custom match-up & 3-ball simulations (along with other betting tools) are only available to Scratch Members.
RESTRICT PLAYERS BY EVENT:
Simulation Updates —
KFT Wave Split Update —
Predicted Thursday Morning Round 1 advantage: 0.21 strokes; Thursday Morning Wave weeklong advantage: 0.1 strokes (total over first 2 rounds).
(read more).
EUR Wave Split Update —
Predicted Thursday Morning Round 1 advantage: -0.03 strokes; Thursday Morning Wave weeklong advantage: -0.2 strokes (total over first 2 rounds).
(read more).
EUR Field Change —
Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez added to the field. Nicolas Colsaerts removed from the field.
PLAYER 1
KITAYAMA / MORIKAWA WIN PROBABILITY TIE
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BREAK-EVEN ODDS
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ENTER ODDS
or
EXPECTED VALUE
run sim to calculate ev
PLAYER 2
MCILROY / LOWRY WIN PROBABILITY TIE
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BREAK-EVEN ODDS
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ENTER ODDS
or
EXPECTED VALUE
run sim to calculate ev
Kitayama / Morikawa and McIlroy / Lowry are not in the same event this week; our baseline model (no adjustments for course history/fit) is being used.
Simulating as if it is round 1 at a "neutral course".
Kitayama / Morikawa and McIlroy / Lowry are in the same event this week; our model with course-specific adjustments is being used.
This is a simulation of round 1; everything accounted for in the live model is accounted for here.
Kitayama / Morikawa and McIlroy / Lowry are in the same event this week; since we do not offer a course-specific model for Korn Ferry events, our baseline model is being used.
Simulating as if it is round 1 at a "neutral course".
PLAYER 1
DETRY / MACINTYRE WIN PROBABILITY TIE
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BREAK-EVEN ODDS
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ENTER ODDS
or
EXPECTED VALUE
run sim to calculate ev
PLAYER 2
MITCHELL / POSTON WIN PROBABILITY TIE
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BREAK-EVEN ODDS
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ENTER ODDS
or
EXPECTED VALUE
run sim to calculate ev
PLAYER 3
NOVAK / GRIFFIN WIN PROBABILITY TIE
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BREAK-EVEN ODDS
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ENTER ODDS
or
EXPECTED VALUE
run sim to calculate ev
Detry / MacIntyre, Mitchell / Poston and Novak / Griffin are not all in the same event this week; our baseline model (no adjustments for course history/fit) is being used.
Simulating as if it is round 1 at a "neutral course".
Detry / MacIntyre, Mitchell / Poston and Novak / Griffin are all in the same event this week; our model with course-specific adjustments is being used.
This is a simulation of round 1; everything accounted for in the live model is accounted for here.
Detry / MacIntyre, Mitchell / Poston and Novak / Griffin are all in the same event this week; since we do not offer a course-specific model for Korn Ferry events, our baseline model is being used. Simulating as if it is round 1 at a "neutral course".
Looking to see how our predictions compare to bookmaker offerings? Visit our matchup betting tool. Or, run single-round and tournament simulations with 4+ players on our props page.