Custom Simulation  | FAQs | FAQs
UPDATED —
Custom match-up & 3-ball simulations (along with other betting tools) are only available to Scratch Members.
RESTRICT PLAYERS BY EVENT:
Simulation Updates
EUR Wave Split Update
Predicted Friday Morning Round 2 advantage: 0.57 strokes. (read more).
EUR General Info
The tournament is currently delayed overnight. The model does not account for golfers' current position on a hole: e.g. if they have hit their drive out of bounds the model is still predicting as if they haven't started the hole. The remainder-of-event simulations take into account all remaining holes (including those from the unfinished round).
PGA Wave Split Update
Predicted Thursday Morning Round 1 advantage: 0.5 strokes; Thursday Morning Wave weeklong advantage: 0.36 strokes (total over first 2 rounds). (read more).
PGA Field Change
Justin Lower added to the field. Marcelo Rozo removed from the field.
KFT Wave Split Update
Predicted Thursday Morning Round 1 advantage: 0.34 strokes; Thursday Morning Wave weeklong advantage: 0.11 strokes (total over first 2 rounds). (read more).
PGA Field Change
Matt Kuchar, Seamus Power added to the field. Bud Cauley, Scottie Scheffler removed from the field.
PGA Field Change
Sam Ryder, Jackson Suber added to the field.
PGA Field Change
Andrew Putnam, Kris Ventura added to the field.
MATCH-UP / 2-BALLS
3-BALLS
SIM TYPE
ROUND
EVENT
TIES TREATED AS
VOID
LOSS
HANDICAP STROKES
PLAYER 1
KNAPP JAKE
WIN PROBABILITY TIE
---
BREAK-EVEN ODDS
---
ENTER ODDS
or
EXPECTED VALUE
run sim to calculate ev
SIM OPTIONS
SIM TYPE
ROUND
EVENT
TIES TREATED AS
VOID
LOSS
HANDICAP STROKES
PLAYER 2
LEE MIN WOO
WIN PROBABILITY TIE
---
BREAK-EVEN ODDS
---
ENTER ODDS
or
EXPECTED VALUE
run sim to calculate ev
Jake Knapp and Min Woo Lee are not in the same event this week; our baseline model (no adjustments for course history/fit) is being used. Simulating as if it is round 1 at a "neutral course". Jake Knapp and Min Woo Lee are in the same event this week; our model with course-specific adjustments is being used. This is a simulation of round 1; everything accounted for in the live model is accounted for here. Jake Knapp and Min Woo Lee are in the same event this week; since we do not offer a course-specific model for Korn Ferry events, our baseline model is being used. Simulating as if it is round 1 at a "neutral course".
PLAYER 1
GERARD RYAN
WIN PROBABILITY TIE
---
BREAK-EVEN ODDS
---
ENTER ODDS
or
EXPECTED VALUE
run sim to calculate ev
PLAYER 2
GOTTERUP CHRIS
WIN PROBABILITY TIE
---
BREAK-EVEN ODDS
---
ENTER ODDS
or
EXPECTED VALUE
run sim to calculate ev
PLAYER 3
HOJGAARD NICOLAI
WIN PROBABILITY TIE
---
BREAK-EVEN ODDS
---
ENTER ODDS
or
EXPECTED VALUE
run sim to calculate ev
Ryan Gerard, Chris Gotterup and Nicolai Hojgaard are not all in the same event this week; our baseline model (no adjustments for course history/fit) is being used. Simulating as if it is round 1 at a "neutral course". Ryan Gerard, Chris Gotterup and Nicolai Hojgaard are all in the same event this week; our model with course-specific adjustments is being used. This is a simulation of round 1; everything accounted for in the live model is accounted for here. Ryan Gerard, Chris Gotterup and Nicolai Hojgaard are all in the same event this week; since we do not offer a course-specific model for Korn Ferry events, our baseline model is being used. Simulating as if it is round 1 at a "neutral course".
Looking to see how our predictions compare to bookmaker offerings? Visit our matchup betting tool. Or, run single-round and tournament simulations with 4+ players on our props page.