Custom Simulation  | FAQs | FAQs
UPDATED —
Custom match-up & 3-ball simulations (along with other betting tools) are only available to Scratch Members.
RESTRICT PLAYERS BY EVENT:
Simulation Updates
EUR Wave Split Update
Predicted Friday Morning Round 2 advantage: 0.55 strokes. (read more).
OPP Wave Split Update
Predicted Thursday Morning Round 1 advantage: 0.2 strokes; Thursday Morning Wave weeklong advantage: 0.2 strokes (total over first 2 rounds). (read more).
OPP Field Change
Taylor Montgomery added to the field. Marco Penge removed from the field.
PGA Wave Split Update
Predicted Thursday Morning Round 1 advantage: 0.02 strokes; Thursday Morning Wave weeklong advantage: 0.04 strokes (total over first 2 rounds). (read more).
PGA Field Change
Austin Smotherman added to the field. Jake Knapp removed from the field.
OPP Field Change
Harry Higgs added to the field. William Mouw removed from the field.
MATCH-UP / 2-BALLS
3-BALLS
SIM TYPE
ROUND
EVENT
TIES TREATED AS
VOID
LOSS
HANDICAP STROKES
PLAYER 1
MCILROY RORY
WIN PROBABILITY TIE
---
BREAK-EVEN ODDS
---
ENTER ODDS
or
EXPECTED VALUE
run sim to calculate ev
SIM OPTIONS
SIM TYPE
ROUND
EVENT
TIES TREATED AS
VOID
LOSS
HANDICAP STROKES
PLAYER 2
YOUNG CAMERON
WIN PROBABILITY TIE
---
BREAK-EVEN ODDS
---
ENTER ODDS
or
EXPECTED VALUE
run sim to calculate ev
Rory McIlroy and Cameron Young are not in the same event this week; our baseline model (no adjustments for course history/fit) is being used. Simulating as if it is round 1 at a "neutral course". Rory McIlroy and Cameron Young are in the same event this week; our model with course-specific adjustments is being used. This is a simulation of round 1; everything accounted for in the live model is accounted for here. Rory McIlroy and Cameron Young are in the same event this week; since we do not offer a course-specific model for Korn Ferry events, our baseline model is being used. Simulating as if it is round 1 at a "neutral course".
PLAYER 1
ABERG LUDVIG
WIN PROBABILITY TIE
---
BREAK-EVEN ODDS
---
ENTER ODDS
or
EXPECTED VALUE
run sim to calculate ev
PLAYER 2
FITZPATRICK MATT
WIN PROBABILITY TIE
---
BREAK-EVEN ODDS
---
ENTER ODDS
or
EXPECTED VALUE
run sim to calculate ev
PLAYER 3
SCHAUFFELE XANDER
WIN PROBABILITY TIE
---
BREAK-EVEN ODDS
---
ENTER ODDS
or
EXPECTED VALUE
run sim to calculate ev
Ludvig Aberg, Matt Fitzpatrick and Xander Schauffele are not all in the same event this week; our baseline model (no adjustments for course history/fit) is being used. Simulating as if it is round 1 at a "neutral course". Ludvig Aberg, Matt Fitzpatrick and Xander Schauffele are all in the same event this week; our model with course-specific adjustments is being used. This is a simulation of round 1; everything accounted for in the live model is accounted for here. Ludvig Aberg, Matt Fitzpatrick and Xander Schauffele are all in the same event this week; since we do not offer a course-specific model for Korn Ferry events, our baseline model is being used. Simulating as if it is round 1 at a "neutral course".
Looking to see how our predictions compare to bookmaker offerings? Visit our matchup betting tool. Or, run single-round and tournament simulations with 4+ players on our props page.