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Live Model
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U.S. Open
Live finish probabilities, updating every 5 minutes.
U.S. Open Live Blog
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U.S. Open
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Live Stats & Insights
Live strokes-gained, traditional stats, and course insights as the tournament unfolds.
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Player Skill Decomposition
Our skill estimates for the week, broken down by baseline, course fit, course history, and more.
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RANKINGS
DG RANKINGS
Professional
1.
S. SCHEFFLER
2.
B. DECHAMBEAU
3.
J. RAHM
4.
R. MCILROY
5.
J. NIEMANN
Amateur
1.
L. CLANTON
2.
J. KOIVUN
3.
B. JAMES
4.
M. LA SASSO
5.
B. VALDES
DG POINTS
Best Seasons
1.
T. WOODS
2000
209.1
209.1
2.
T. WOODS
2007
182.3
182.3
3.
T. WOODS
2006
182.2
182.2
4.
S. SCHEFFLER
2024
173.5
173.5
5.
T. WOODS
2005
173.4
173.4
SKILL RANKINGS
Most Accurate Drivers
1.
A. RAI
+12.3%
2.
H. STENSON
+10.8%
3.
C. MORIKAWA
+10.5%
4.
P. PETERSON
+9.7%
5.
B. KOHLES
+9.2%
COURSE RANKINGS
Lowest Penalty for Missed Fairway
1.
The Riviera Country Club
0.24
2.
Eagle Point Golf Club
0.25
3.
Memorial Park Golf Course
0.26
4.
Harbour Town Golf Links
0.26
5.
Dunes Golf and Beach Club
0.27
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Interactive table highlighting recent performance trends around the world of golf.
Approach Skill
Using strokes-gained, proximity, and GIR to break down approach skill across 6 yardage buckets.
Historical
Event
Tournament
Stats
Comprehensive statistical breakdown of past PGA Tour tournaments.
Course Fit Tool
Are certain skill sets — such as distance, or accuracy — favoured at specific courses?
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Detailed player histories as well as suggested adjustments for a golfer's course history and experience.
Performance Table
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Who plays best (and worst!) under pressure?
RECENT BLOG POSTS
Model Talk Blog
Does our model overvalue leaders?
Major Championship Data Visualizations
10th at Riviera
Major Performers
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Full-field win and top 5/10/20 predictions from our model listed alongside odds from various books.
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View our model's odds and track line movement for matchups and 3-balls offered at popular books.
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Model odds for common 'prop' bets such as winning margin and winner's nationality, as well as a custom group simulator.
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Use our model to simulate matchups and 3-balls between any golfers from our database.
MODEL PREDICTIONS
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U.S. Open
SCHEFFLER
SCOTTIE
18.8%
DECHAMBEAU
BRYSON
11.1%
RAHM
JON
5.9%
MCILROY
RORY
3.2%
NIEMANN
JOAQUIN
3.1%
FULL PREDICTIONS
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OTHER TOURS
Use your knowledge and expertise to customize our predictions and run full-field pre-tournament simulations.
Hole Mappings
Shot-level heatmaps of every hole at Torrey Pines South.
RANKINGS
DG RANKINGS
Professional
1.
S. SCHEFFLER
2.
B. DECHAMBEAU
3.
J. RAHM
4.
R. MCILROY
5.
J. NIEMANN
Amateur
1.
L. CLANTON
2.
J. KOIVUN
3.
B. JAMES
4.
M. LA SASSO
5.
B. VALDES
DG POINTS
Best Seasons
1.
T. WOODS
2000
209.1
209.1
2.
T. WOODS
2007
182.3
182.3
3.
T. WOODS
2006
182.2
182.2
4.
S. SCHEFFLER
2024
173.5
173.5
5.
T. WOODS
2005
173.4
173.4
SKILL RANKINGS
Most Accurate Drivers
1.
A. RAI
+12.3%
2.
H. STENSON
+10.8%
3.
C. MORIKAWA
+10.5%
4.
P. PETERSON
+9.7%
5.
B. KOHLES
+9.2%
COURSE RANKINGS
Lowest Penalty for Missed Fairway
1.
The Riviera Country Club
0.24
2.
Eagle Point Golf Club
0.25
3.
Memorial Park Golf Course
0.26
4.
Harbour Town Golf Links
0.26
5.
Dunes Golf and Beach Club
0.27
ARCHIVES
Raw Scores, Stats, and Strokes Gained
Betting Odds
DFS Points & Salaries
Betting Results
INTERACTIVES
True Strokes-Gained
PLAYER PLOTS
QUERY TOOL
Trend Table
Interactive table highlighting recent performance trends around the world of golf.
Approach Skill
Using strokes-gained, proximity, and GIR to break down approach skill across 6 yardage buckets.
Historical
Event
Tournament
Stats
Comprehensive statistical breakdown of past PGA Tour tournaments.
Course Fit Tool
Are certain skill sets — such as distance, or accuracy — favoured at specific courses?
Course History Tool
Detailed player histories as well as suggested adjustments for a golfer's course history and experience.
Performance Table
Pressure Tool
Who plays best (and worst!) under pressure?
RECENT BLOG POSTS
Model Talk Blog
Does our model overvalue leaders?
Major Championship Data Visualizations
10th at Riviera
Major Performers
Bomber's Paradise
Data Visualization Blog
Skill Distribution of Major Champions