data golf
• Predictive Model
Major Predictions
• Data Golf Rankings
    Professional Rankings
    Amateur Rankings
• Live Predictive Models
    PGA TOUR
    PGA TOUR (Opposite Field)
    Live Model Evaluation
• Pre-Tourney Predictions
    PGA TOUR
    European Tour
    Korn Ferry Tour
    PGA TOUR (Opposite Field)
• Player Decompositions
    PGA TOUR
    European Tour
• Archives
    PGA TOUR Predictions
• More Model Pages
    Field Strength Table
    2021 Betting Results
    2020 Betting Results
    2019 Betting Results
• Interactives
• True Strokes-Gained
    Query Tool
    Professional
    Amateur
Performance Table
Pressure Tool
Course Fit Tool
Trending Table
Player Projections
Historical Event Data
• Course History Tools
    PGA Tour
    European Tour
• Data Viz of the Week
    Driving Distance Evolution
    PGA TOUR Prize Money
    Career Earnings Evolutions
• More Interactives
    Live Strokes-Gained
    Career Evolutions
    Player Comparison Tool
•
 Scratch Tools 
PGA TOUR
• Betting Tools
   Finish Position
   3-Balls & Matchups
   Tournament Props
Fantasy Projections
OPPOSITE FIELD
• Betting Tools
   Finish Position
   3-Balls & Matchups
   Tournament Props
Fantasy Projections
Custom Matchup Tool
• Blogs
Inside the Numbers
Analytics Blog
Betting Blog
DISCONT'D
Betting Blog
DISCONTINUED
Contact
• Login/Register
API Access
NEW
Login
Register
Inside The Numbers:
#
24
NIGHT MODE
DAY MODE
PGA
WGC-Workday Championship at The Concession
Live finish probabilities, updating every 5 minutes.
OPP
Live Predictive Model
Puerto Rico Open
Live Strokes-Gained
Track how players are gaining/losing strokes as the event unfolds.
Showdown Projections
PGA
OPP
Customizable fantasy projections for showdown, weekend, and captain mode slates.
RECENT BLOGS
The Favourite Longshot Bias is not a bias
Why declining returns at longer odds should be expected in any betting market: some intuition, theory, and evidence.
How sharp are bookmakers? How sharp are we?
Analyzing the accuracy of over 100,000 matchup and 3-ball prices at 11 sportsbooks.
A data-driven history of Augusta National
Shedding some light on what it takes to win around Augusta, and which holes offer the largest advantage for bombers.
Sleeping on the Lead: How do pros perform under pressure?
Using strokes-gained and win probability to assess the role of skill, luck, and pressure in golfers' third and fourth round performances.
More Blogs
RANKINGS
PRO
1.
D. JOHNSON
2.
J. RAHM
3.
X. SCHAUFFELE
4.
P. CANTLAY
5.
T. FINAU
AMATEUR
1.
D. THOMPSON
2.
C. AN YU
3.
J. PAK
4.
Q. CUMMINS
5.
S. HAGESTAD
INTERACTIVES
True Strokes-Gained
PLAYER PLOTS
QUERY TOOL
Performance Table
Pressure Tool
Who plays best (and worst!) under pressure?
Career Projections
Course Fit Tool
Are certain skill sets — such as distance, or accuracy — favoured at specific courses?
Player Trends
Course History Tool
Detailed player histories as well as suggested adjustments for a golfer's course history and experience.
Historical Event Data
RECENT BLOGS
The Favourite Longshot Bias is not a bias
Why declining returns at longer odds should be expected in any betting market: some intuition, theory, and evidence.
How sharp are bookmakers? How sharp are we?
Analyzing the accuracy of over 100,000 matchup and 3-ball prices at 11 sportsbooks.
A data-driven history of Augusta National
Shedding some light on what it takes to win around Augusta, and which holes offer the largest advantage for bombers.
Sleeping on the Lead: How do pros perform under pressure?
Using strokes-gained and win probability to assess the role of skill, luck, and pressure in golfers' third and fourth round performances.
More Blogs
API Access
New for 2021, our API allows you to seamlessly integrate our data/model into your own processes.
data golf
SCRATCH TOOLS
Finish Position
OPP
PGA
Full-field win and top 5/10/20 predictions from our model listed alongside odds from various books.
Matchup & 3-Balls
OPP
PGA
View our model's odds and track line movement for matchups and 3-balls offered at popular books.
Tournament Props
OPP
PGA
Model odds for common 'prop' bets such as winning margin and winner's nationality, as well as a custom group simulator.
Custom Matchup Tool
Use our model to simulate matchups and 3-balls between any golfers from our database.
Field Updates
—
Up-to-the-minute updates on WDs, Monday Qs, tee times, DFS pricing. Easily downloadable.
MODEL PREDICTIONS
PGA
WGC-Workday Championship at The Concession
RAHM
JON
10.0%
JOHNSON
DUSTIN
9.6%
SCHAUFFELE
XANDER
6.5%
THOMAS
JUSTIN
5.5%
MCILROY
RORY
5.2%
FULL PREDICTIONS
OPP
Puerto Rico Open
GRILLO
EMILIANO
5.2%
PENDRITH
TAYLOR
4.0%
AN
BYEONG HUN
3.9%
RODGERS
PATRICK
3.4%
WALLACE
MATT
3.4%
FULL PREDICTIONS
Betting Results
Player Skill Decomposition
Our final predictions for the week decomposed into baseline, age, course fit, and course history components.
RANKINGS
PRO
1.
D. JOHNSON
2.
J. RAHM
3.
X. SCHAUFFELE
4.
P. CANTLAY
5.
T. FINAU
AMATEUR
1.
D. THOMPSON
2.
C. AN YU
3.
J. PAK
4.
Q. CUMMINS
5.
S. HAGESTAD
INTERACTIVES
True Strokes-Gained
PLAYER PLOTS
QUERY TOOL
Performance Table
Pressure Tool
Who plays best (and worst!) under pressure?
Career Projections
Course Fit Tool
Are certain skill sets — such as distance, or accuracy — favoured at specific courses?
Player Trends
Course History Tool
Detailed player histories as well as suggested adjustments for a golfer's course history and experience.
Historical Event Data
RECENT BLOGS
The Favourite Longshot Bias is not a bias
Why declining returns at longer odds should be expected in any betting market: some intuition, theory, and evidence.
How sharp are bookmakers? How sharp are we?
Analyzing the accuracy of over 100,000 matchup and 3-ball prices at 11 sportsbooks.
A data-driven history of Augusta National
Shedding some light on what it takes to win around Augusta, and which holes offer the largest advantage for bombers.
Sleeping on the Lead: How do pros perform under pressure?
Using strokes-gained and win probability to assess the role of skill, luck, and pressure in golfers' third and fourth round performances.
More Blogs