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Live Model
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PGA Championship
Live finish probabilities, updating every 5 minutes.
PGA Championship Live Blog
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AdventHealth Championship
DFS SHOWDOWN PROJECTIONS...
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PGA Championship
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Live Tournament Stats
Live strokes-gained, traditional stats, and course insights as the tournament unfolds.
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Player Skill Decomposition
Our skill estimates for the week, broken down by baseline, course fit, course history, and more.
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RANKINGS
DG RANKINGS
Professional
1.
S. SCHEFFLER
2.
R. MCILROY
3.
B. DECHAMBEAU
4.
J. RAHM
5.
J. THOMAS
Amateur
1.
L. CLANTON
2.
J. KOIVUN
3.
D. FORD
4.
B. JAMES
5.
I. GILLIGAN
DG POINTS
2025 Points List
1.
R. MCILROY
73.74
73.74
2.
J. THOMAS
40.18
40.18
3.
S. STRAKA
38.48
38.48
4.
S. SCHEFFLER
33.8
33.8
5.
R. HENLEY
27.69
27.69
SKILL RANKINGS
Best Short Games
1.
C. SMITH
+1.09
2.
S. BURNS
+0.84
3.
H. HALL
+0.83
4.
M. HUGHES
+0.81
5.
S. IM
+0.79
COURSE RANKINGS
Hardest Greens (Outside 15 ft.)
1.
Winged Foot GC
-0.06
2.
Augusta National Golf Club
-0.06
3.
Club de Golf Chapultepec
-0.03
4.
Glen Oaks Club
-0.03
5.
St. Andrews Links (Old Course)
-0.03
ARCHIVES
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Interactive table highlighting recent performance trends around the world of golf.
Approach Skill
Using strokes-gained, proximity, and GIR to break down approach skill across 6 yardage buckets.
Historical
Event
Tournament
Stats
Comprehensive statistical breakdown of past PGA Tour tournaments.
Course Fit Tool
Are certain skill sets — such as distance, or accuracy — favoured at specific courses?
Course History Tool
Detailed player histories as well as suggested adjustments for a golfer's course history and experience.
Performance Table
Pressure Tool
Who plays best (and worst!) under pressure?
RECENT BLOG POSTS
Model Talk Blog
Does our model overvalue leaders?
Major Championship Data Visualizations
10th at Riviera
Major Performers
Bomber's Paradise
Data Visualization Blog
Skill Distribution of Major Champions
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Full-field win and top 5/10/20 predictions from our model listed alongside odds from various books.
Matchup & 3-Balls
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View our model's odds and track line movement for matchups and 3-balls offered at popular books.
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Model odds for common 'prop' bets such as winning margin and winner's nationality, as well as a custom group simulator.
Custom Matchup Tool
Use our model to simulate matchups and 3-balls between any golfers from our database.
MODEL PREDICTIONS
MAJ
PGA Championship
SCHEFFLER
SCOTTIE
12.4%
MCILROY
RORY
11.9%
DECHAMBEAU
BRYSON
10.4%
RAHM
JON
4.9%
THOMAS
JUSTIN
3.5%
FULL PREDICTIONS
KFT
AdventHealth Championship
COODY
PIERCESON
4.0%
MEISSNER
MITCHELL
2.8%
HIRATA
KENSEI
2.5%
KIM
S.H.
2.2%
DOCHERTY
ALISTAIR
2.2%
FULL PREDICTIONS
Custom Models
PGA
OTHER TOURS
Use your knowledge and expertise to customize our predictions and run full-field pre-tournament simulations.
Hole Mappings
Shot-level heatmaps of every hole at Torrey Pines South.
RANKINGS
DG RANKINGS
Professional
1.
S. SCHEFFLER
2.
R. MCILROY
3.
B. DECHAMBEAU
4.
J. RAHM
5.
J. THOMAS
Amateur
1.
L. CLANTON
2.
J. KOIVUN
3.
D. FORD
4.
B. JAMES
5.
I. GILLIGAN
DG POINTS
2025 Points List
1.
R. MCILROY
73.74
73.74
2.
J. THOMAS
40.18
40.18
3.
S. STRAKA
38.48
38.48
4.
S. SCHEFFLER
33.8
33.8
5.
R. HENLEY
27.69
27.69
SKILL RANKINGS
Best Short Games
1.
C. SMITH
+1.09
2.
S. BURNS
+0.84
3.
H. HALL
+0.83
4.
M. HUGHES
+0.81
5.
S. IM
+0.79
COURSE RANKINGS
Hardest Greens (Outside 15 ft.)
1.
Winged Foot GC
-0.06
2.
Augusta National Golf Club
-0.06
3.
Club de Golf Chapultepec
-0.03
4.
Glen Oaks Club
-0.03
5.
St. Andrews Links (Old Course)
-0.03
ARCHIVES
Raw Scores, Stats, and Strokes Gained
Betting Odds
DFS Points & Salaries
Betting Results
INTERACTIVES
True Strokes-Gained
PLAYER PLOTS
QUERY TOOL
Trend Table
Interactive table highlighting recent performance trends around the world of golf.
Approach Skill
Using strokes-gained, proximity, and GIR to break down approach skill across 6 yardage buckets.
Historical
Event
Tournament
Stats
Comprehensive statistical breakdown of past PGA Tour tournaments.
Course Fit Tool
Are certain skill sets — such as distance, or accuracy — favoured at specific courses?
Course History Tool
Detailed player histories as well as suggested adjustments for a golfer's course history and experience.
Performance Table
Pressure Tool
Who plays best (and worst!) under pressure?
RECENT BLOG POSTS
Model Talk Blog
Does our model overvalue leaders?
Major Championship Data Visualizations
10th at Riviera
Major Performers
Bomber's Paradise
Data Visualization Blog
Skill Distribution of Major Champions