PGA General Info
Zurich Classic predictions are now posted (this includes the outright betting tool)! It’s unlikely we will be doing fantasy projections or updating the other Scratch Tools, given the amount of manual work that would be required.
EUR Gran Canaria Lopesan Open
Live finish probabilities, updating every 5 minutes.
EUR Showdown Projections & Optimizer
Customizable fantasy projections for showdown, weekend, and captain mode slates.
Is Jordan Spieth Back?
A statistical deep-dive into Spieth's turbulent career.
RECENT BLOGS
The Favourite Longshot Bias is not a bias
Why declining returns at longer odds should be expected in any betting market: some intuition, theory, and evidence.
How sharp are bookmakers? How sharp are we?
Analyzing the accuracy of over 100,000 matchup and 3-ball prices at 11 sportsbooks.
A data-driven history of Augusta National
Shedding some light on what it takes to win around Augusta, and which holes offer the largest advantage for bombers.
Course Fit at Majors
Which tournaments separate players based on skill? Who benefits from a typical Major Championship setup?
More Blogs
RANKINGS
INTERACTIVES
Performance Table
Pressure Tool
Who plays best (and worst!) under pressure?
Career Projections
Course Fit Tool
Are certain skill sets — such as distance, or accuracy — favoured at specific courses?
Player Trends
Historical Event Data
RECENT BLOGS
The Favourite Longshot Bias is not a bias
Why declining returns at longer odds should be expected in any betting market: some intuition, theory, and evidence.
How sharp are bookmakers? How sharp are we?
Analyzing the accuracy of over 100,000 matchup and 3-ball prices at 11 sportsbooks.
A data-driven history of Augusta National
Shedding some light on what it takes to win around Augusta, and which holes offer the largest advantage for bombers.
Course Fit at Majors
Which tournaments separate players based on skill? Who benefits from a typical Major Championship setup?
More Blogs
API Access
New for 2021, our API allows you to seamlessly integrate our data/model into your own processes.
data golf
SCRATCH TOOLS
Full-field win and top 5/10/20 predictions from our model listed alongside odds from various books.
View our model's odds and track line movement for matchups and 3-balls offered at popular books.
Model odds for common 'prop' bets such as winning margin and winner's nationality, as well as a custom group simulator.
Use our model to simulate matchups and 3-balls between any golfers from our database.
Field Updates —
Up-to-the-minute updates on WDs, Monday Qs, tee times, DFS pricing. Easily downloadable.
MODEL PREDICTIONS
PALMER /
RAHM
12.3%
CANTLAY /
SCHAUFFELE
11.9%
WATSON /
SCHEFFLER
5.4%
LEISHMAN /
SMITH
4.7%
FINAU /
CHAMP
4.5%
FULL PREDICTIONS
ROZNERANTOINE5.1%
KITAYAMAKURT3.6%
DUBUISSONVICTOR2.8%
CROCKERSEAN2.6%
SCHWABMATTHIAS2.5%
FULL PREDICTIONS
SVENSSONADAM4.2%
RAMEYCHAD3.9%
HARDYNICK3.6%
THEEGALASAHITH3.3%
MCGREEVYMAX3.2%
FULL PREDICTIONS
Futures Pricing
Full-field predictions for upcoming Major Championships.
Betting Results
Player Skill Decomposition
Our final predictions for the week decomposed into baseline, age, course fit, and course history components.
RANKINGS
INTERACTIVES
Performance Table
Pressure Tool
Who plays best (and worst!) under pressure?
Career Projections
Course Fit Tool
Are certain skill sets — such as distance, or accuracy — favoured at specific courses?
Player Trends
Historical Event Data
RECENT BLOGS
The Favourite Longshot Bias is not a bias
Why declining returns at longer odds should be expected in any betting market: some intuition, theory, and evidence.
How sharp are bookmakers? How sharp are we?
Analyzing the accuracy of over 100,000 matchup and 3-ball prices at 11 sportsbooks.
A data-driven history of Augusta National
Shedding some light on what it takes to win around Augusta, and which holes offer the largest advantage for bombers.
Course Fit at Majors
Which tournaments separate players based on skill? Who benefits from a typical Major Championship setup?
More Blogs