Pressure Tool
SELECT PLAYER:
Pressure vs Performance
HELP ME UNDERSTAND
The graph below plots the relationship between 4th round starting position and performance.
"Performance" here is measured in strokes better/worse than our model's expectation at the time the round was played.
Green dots represent rounds where Tony Finau performed above expectation, while red dots reflect below-expectation performances.
Lastly, the blue line fits the data to highlight any trends in the position-performance relationship.
As we move left right across the plot, "pressure" rises...
As we move left right across the plot, "pressure" rises...
-8
-6
-4
-2
0
+2
+4
+6
STROKES-GAINED VS EXPECTATION
TRENDLINE ONLY
PGATOUR AVG
Not enough data for trendline.
POSITION ENTERING 4TH RND
60TH
50TH
40TH
30TH
20TH
10TH
5TH
1ST
4TH Round Performances
DATE RANGE
STARTING POSITION RANGE
POSITION
STROKES-GAINED
EXPECTED WINS
EVENT
SCORESHOT
START
Δ
END
TRUE
VS "EXPECTED" VS EXPECT
BEFORE ROUND BEFORE
GIVEN HOW HE PLAYED AFTER
WIN
FILTERED AVERAGESAVERAGES (232 ROUNDS)
69.8
-
-
+1.2
7.23
6.97
7
2022Rocket Mortgage Classic
67
T1
1
+2.3
0.51
0.59
2014Stonebrae Classic
66
1
1
+1.9
0.32
0.60
2021The American Express
68
T1
3
4
+2.8
0.30
0.32
2020Waste Management Phoenix Open
70
1
1
T1
+1.1
0.37
0.22
2023Mexico Open at Vidanta
66
1
1
+2.9
0.55
0.70
2023Cadence Bank Houston Open
69
1
1
+2.0
0.90
0.98
2022RBC Canadian Open
64
T1
1
2
+4.7
0.28
0.74
2018U.S. Open
72
T1
4
5
+0.7
0.16
0.00
2019World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions
71
1
1
T1
+3.7
0.61
0.90
2019Hero World Challenge
69
T1
1
2
+1.8
0.30
0.14
2019BMW Championship
69
T2
2
4
+2.2
0.03
0.01
2014United Leasing Championship Presented by PTI
74
2
2
T4
-1.0
0.20
0.01
2019Charles Schwab Challenge
68
T2
2
+2.8
0.14
0.10
2019The Masters
72
T2
3
T5
+0.2
0.18
0.00
2020the Memorial Tournament presented by Nationwide
78
T2
6
8
-1.4
0.07
0.00
2016Puerto Rico Open at Coco Beach
70
T2
1
T1
+1.2
0.18
0.03
2021Saudi International powered by SoftBank Investment Advisers
67
T3
1
T2
+3.2
0.08
0.04
2018Genesis Open
69
T3
1
T2
+2.9
0.13
0.07
2017Farmers Insurance Open
71
T3
1
T4
+1.1
0.11
0.00
20233M Open
70
3
4
T7
-1.2
0.06
0.00
20223M Open
67
T3
2
1
+4.7
0.10
0.28
20203M Open
68
T3
T3
+0.2
0.15
0.00
2023Farmers Insurance Open
73
3
6
T9
+1.6
0.10
0.00
2018THE NORTHERN TRUST
68
T3
1
2
+3.2
0.06
0.03
2022Hero World Challenge
71
T3
4
T7
+0.3
0.02
0.00
2018Shriners Hospitals for Children Open
72
3
13
T16
-1.8
0.14
0.00
2017Valero Texas Open
69
T4
1
T3
+4.2
0.09
0.23
2023Hero World Challenge #2
67
T4
T4
+3.0
0.01
0.00
2021THE NORTHERN TRUST
65
T4
3
T1
+6.1
0.06
0.42
2019Alfred Dunhill Links Championship
71
T4
6
T10
-1.6
0.12
0.00
2014Nova Scotia Open
73
T5
11
T16
-2.6
0.03
0.00
2021The Genesis Invitational
64
T5
3
T1
+6.6
0.04
0.33
2017RBC Canadian Open
68
T5
T5
+2.5
0.07
0.00
2018Farmers Insurance Open
73
T5
1
T6
+2.2
0.07
0.00
2015PGA Championship
71
T6
4
T10
+1.3
0.01
0.00
2016The Open Championship
74
T6
12
T18
-0.7
0.00
0.00
2014Utah Championship presented by Zions Bank
68
T6
1
5
+1.3
0.03
0.00
2024Charles Schwab Challenge
75
6
11
T17
-2.3
0.02
0.00
2018TOUR Championship
72
T6
9
T15
-0.9
0.01
0.00
2018Safeway Open
69
T7
5
2
+4.7
0.05
0.10
2024U.S. Open
67
T7
4
T3
+5.5
0.01
0.02
2024Travelers Championship
66
T7
2
T5
+2.0
0.01
0.00
2014Nationwide Children's Hospital Championship
71
T7
1
T6
+1.5
0.05
0.00
2020Farmers Insurance Open
70
T7
1
T6
+2.2
0.02
0.00
2020PGA Championship
66
T7
3
T4
+4.0
0.03
0.01
2021Mayakoba Golf Classic presented by UNIFIN
67
T7
1
T8
+2.2
0.01
0.00
2016Deutsche Bank Championship
74
T7
17
T24
-2.6
0.01
0.00
2022FedEx St. Jude Championship
68
T7
2
T5
+2.5
0.04
0.00
2020Shriners Hospitals for Children Open
68
T8
1
T9
+1.5
0.01
0.00
2019The Open Championship
71
T8
5
3
+2.7
0.00
0.00
2017The Greenbrier Classic
68
T8
1
T7
+1.2
0.02
0.00
2014Rex Hospital Open
67
8
4
T4
+2.6
0.01
0.00
2017SBS Tournament of Champions
70
T8
1
T9
+1.8
0.00
0.00
2021Vivint Houston Open
71
T8
16
T24
-2.0
0.02
0.00
2018Dell Technologies Championship
68
T8
4
T4
+2.5
0.03
0.00
2020The American Express
69
T9
5
T14
+1.5
0.00
0.00
2015U.S. Open
71
T9
5
T14
+0.7
0.00
0.00
2024Texas Children's Houston Open
66
T9
7
T2
+3.0
0.03
0.00
2021Charles Schwab Challenge
72
T9
11
T20
-0.8
0.00
0.00
2024FedEx St. Jude Championship
69
T9
7
T16
+0.5
0.00
0.00
2021The Masters #2
72
9
1
T10
+1.6
0.00
0.00
2023Hero World Challenge
68
T9
2
7
+3.2
0.00
0.00
2016The Barclays
71
T10
2
12
+1.0
0.01
0.00
2015AT&T Byron Nelson
68
T10
T10
+0.8
0.02
0.00
2024Farmers Insurance Open
69
T10
4
T6
+3.1
0.02
0.00
2024PGA Championship
70
T10
8
T18
+0.0
0.00
0.00
2019TOUR Championship
67
T10
3
7
+4.8
0.00
0.00
2017Sony Open in Hawaii
69
T10
10
T20
-0.5
0.00
0.00
2019Genesis Open
72
T10
5
T15
+0.6
0.00
0.00
2021World Golf Championships-Workday Championship at The Concession
72
T11
3
14
+1.0
0.01
0.00
2023WM Phoenix Open
71
T11
3
T14
-0.3
0.01
0.00
2018World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship
74
T11
16
T27
-3.0
0.01
0.00
2024the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday
73
T11
3
T8
+3.1
0.00
0.00
2023Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard
73
T12
12
T24
-0.2
0.00
0.00
2017Shriners Hospitals for Children Open
74
T12
29
T41
-4.4
0.02
0.00
2020TOUR Championship
71
T12
5
17
-0.7
0.00
0.00
2014WNB Golf Classic
72
T12
19
T31
-3.4
0.00
0.00
2021Farmers Insurance Open
69
T12
10
T2
+3.3
0.02
0.00
2017Valspar Championship
64
T12
7
5
+7.3
0.00
0.03
2023Sentry Tournament of Champions
66
T13
6
T7
+3.5
0.00
0.00
2018RBC Canadian Open
73
T13
24
T37
-3.1
0.00
0.00
2021PGA Championship
71
T13
5
T8
+2.3
0.00
0.00
2018The Open Championship
71
T13
4
T9
+2.7
0.01
0.00
2021TOUR Championship
68
T13
2
T11
+2.0
0.00
0.00
2021ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP @ SHERWOOD
69
T13
2
T11
+1.5
0.01
0.00
2015The Barclays
70
T14
2
T16
+1.0
0.00
0.00
2014Pacific Rubiales Colombia Championship Presented by Claro
69
T14
T14
-0.4
0.00
0.00
2018A Military Tribute at The Greenbrier
71
T14
7
T21
-0.8
0.02
0.00
2023U.S. Open
74
T15
17
T32
-1.7
0.00
0.00
2020BMW Championship
65
T15
10
5
+6.1
0.00
0.02
2018Masters Tournament
66
T15
5
T10
+5.5
0.00
0.00
2018BMW Championship
65
T15
7
T8
+4.8
0.00
0.00
2022Travelers Championship
69
T15
2
T13
+1.0
0.00
0.00
2020Hero World Challenge
65
T15
5
T10
+5.1
0.00
0.00
2017TOUR Championship
66
T15
8
T7
+5.2
0.00
0.00
2019Mayakoba Golf Classic
69
T15
1
T16
+0.3
0.01
0.00
2024The Genesis Invitational
71
T15
4
T19
+0.5
0.00
0.00
2019THE PLAYERS Championship
72
T16
6
T22
-0.0
0.00
0.00
2019Farmers Insurance Open
70
T16
3
T13
+2.1
0.00
0.00
2014Chitimacha Louisiana Open Presented by NACHER
71
T16
9
T25
-1.5
0.01
0.00
2016Shriners Hospitals for Children Open
68
T16
T16
+1.4
0.00
0.00
2023The American Express
66
T16
T16
+2.9
0.00
0.00
2016CIMB Classic
66
T16
7
9
+3.7
0.00
0.00
2015Farmers Insurance Open
74
T17
7
T24
+0.3
0.01
0.00
2015Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial
68
T17
2
T19
+1.4
0.00
0.00
2022Charles Schwab Challenge
67
T17
13
T4
+5.8
0.00
0.00
2018World Golf Championships-Bridgestone Invitational
68
T17
7
T10
+4.1
0.00
0.00
2022TOUR Championship
64
T17
8
9
+6.1
0.00
0.00
2015The Greenbrier Classic
67
T17
4
T13
+1.7
0.01
0.00
2021World Golf Championships-FedEx St. Jude Invitational
74
T17
17
T34
-2.2
0.00
0.00
2022Mexico Open at Vidanta
63
T17
15
T2
+6.4
0.00
0.02
2015Shriners Hospitals for Children Open
67
17
10
T7
+2.6
0.00
0.00
20193M Open
68
T17
6
T23
+0.5
0.00
0.00
2017The Open Championship
71
T18
9
T27
-0.4
0.00
0.00
2017PGA Championship
74
T18
26
T44
-1.4
0.00
0.00
2024TOUR Championship
71
T19
4
T23
-1.7
0.00
0.00
2017AT&T Byron Nelson
69
T19
6
T13
+2.1
0.00
0.00
2020Rocket Mortgage Classic
74
T19
34
T53
-3.5
0.00
0.00
2024Mexico Open at Vidanta
68
T20
7
T13
+1.7
0.00
0.00
2018Alfred Dunhill Links Championship
70
T20
6
T10
+2.1
0.00
0.00
2021U.S. Open
71
T21
13
T8
+4.6
0.00
0.00
2014Hotel Fitness Championship
70
T21
2
T19
-0.1
0.00
0.00
2023TOUR Championship
68
T21
1
T20
+2.1
0.00
0.00
2020RBC Heritage
70
T22
11
T33
-0.8
0.00
0.00
2015Frys.com Open
68
T22
10
T12
+3.9
0.00
0.00
2017DEAN & DELUCA Invitational
70
T22
7
T29
+0.0
0.00
0.00
20243M Open
67
T23
11
T12
+2.9
0.00
0.00
2019World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship
69
T23
2
T25
+1.9
0.00
0.00
2014Air Capital Classic presented by Aetna
70
T23
5
T28
-1.8
0.00
0.00
2015Wells Fargo Championship
70
T23
7
T16
+1.7
0.00
0.00
2016RBC Heritage
74
T24
15
T39
-1.4
0.00
0.00
2015the Memorial Tournament presented by Nationwide
67
T24
16
T8
+6.4
0.00
0.00
2015Humana Challenge in partnership with the Clinton Foundation
74
T24
35
T59
-4.7
0.00
0.00
2018World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions
70
T25
14
T11
+3.8
0.00
0.00
2015Travelers Championship
70
T25
T25
-0.4
0.00
0.00
2014BMW Charity Pro-Am Presented by SYNNEX Corporation
67
T25
7
T18
+0.9
0.00
0.00
2023Masters Tournament
72
T25
1
T26
+2.1
0.00
0.00
2019PGA Championship
79
T26
38
T64
-5.0
0.00
0.00
2015OHL Classic at Mayakoba
65
T26
19
T7
+4.4
0.00
0.00
2022Sentry Tournament of Champions
65
T26
7
T19
+3.6
0.00
0.00
2023THE PLAYERS Championship
71
T26
7
T19
+1.9
0.00
0.00
2022The Masters
74
T26
9
T35
-0.6
0.00
0.00
2023Travelers Championship
70
T26
19
T45
-1.9
0.00
0.00
2016Farmers Insurance Open
77
T27
9
T18
+1.1
0.00
0.00
2015The McGladrey Classic
66
T27
13
T14
+2.8
0.00
0.00
2014South Georgia Classic presented by First State Bank and Trust Company
70
T27
8
T19
+0.9
0.00
0.00
2024The Sentry
69
T27
11
T38
-1.5
0.00
0.00
2020Charles Schwab Challenge
68
T27
4
T23
+2.1
0.00
0.00
2016Frys.com Open
72
T27
5
T32
-0.1
0.00
0.00
2024Masters Tournament
80
T28
27
T55
-6.6
0.00
0.00
2017Safeway Open
69
T28
2
T26
+0.6
0.00
0.00
2017THE NORTHERN TRUST
77
T28
26
T54
-4.7
0.00
0.00
2018THE CJ CUP @ NINE BRIDGES
72
T28
2
T26
+1.9
0.00
0.00
2017AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
70
T28
5
T23
+0.9
0.00
0.00
2017Travelers Championship
67
T28
11
T17
+2.3
0.00
0.00
20213M Open
70
T29
1
T28
+0.4
0.00
0.00
2024THE PLAYERS Championship
74
T29
16
T45
-2.1
0.00
0.00
2020World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions
76
T30
23
T53
-4.7
0.00
0.00
2021the Memorial Tournament presented by Nationwide
73
T30
2
T32
+0.7
0.00
0.00
2016AT&T Byron Nelson
66
T30
18
T12
+3.3
0.00
0.00
2022Wells Fargo Championship
73
T31
10
T41
-1.5
0.00
0.00
2024BMW Championship
68
T31
18
T13
+4.8
0.00
0.00
2016DEAN & DELUCA Invitational
71
T31
3
T34
-0.6
0.00
0.00
2018Houston Open
69
T31
7
T24
+1.5
0.00
0.00
2017CIMB Classic
71
T32
1
T33
+0.1
0.00
0.00
2021BMW Championship
63
T32
17
T15
+6.4
0.00
0.00
2011Utah Championship Presented by Utah Sports Commission
71
T32
13
T45
-3.2
0.00
0.00
2016Travelers Championship
67
T33
8
T25
+1.9
0.00
0.00
2015Quicken Loans National
72
T33
6
T39
-0.3
0.00
0.00
2021The Open Championship
67
T33
18
T15
+3.3
0.00
0.00
2021Sentry Tournament of Champions
71
T34
3
T31
+0.2
0.00
0.00
2017BMW Championship
64
T34
27
T7
+6.0
0.00
0.00
2019THE NORTHERN TRUST
70
T35
5
T30
+1.2
0.00
0.00
2016the Memorial Tournament presented by Nationwide
68
T35
24
T11
+4.9
0.00
0.00
2014Price Cutter Charity Championship presented by Dr Pepper
64
T35
24
T11
+4.5
0.00
0.00
2023BMW Championship
71
T36
1
T37
-1.2
0.00
0.00
2018the Memorial Tournament presented by Nationwide
67
T37
24
T13
+5.0
0.00
0.00
2019World Golf Championships-FedEx St. Jude Invitational
68
T37
10
T27
+2.2
0.00
0.00
2015Waste Management Phoenix Open
67
T38
16
T22
+3.2
0.00
0.00
2023Wells Fargo Championship
69
T38
15
T23
+3.2
0.00
0.00
2014Chiquita Classic
74
T38
8
T46
-2.3
0.00
0.00
2017Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard
71
T39
11
T28
+2.6
0.00
0.00
2024The American Express
67
T39
14
T25
+2.7
0.00
0.00
2016Sony Open in Hawaii
71
T39
25
T64
-2.8
0.00
0.00
2017Quicken Loans National
68
T40
11
T29
+2.5
0.00
0.00
2022Valero Texas Open
69
T40
11
T29
+2.4
0.00
0.00
2018Sony Open in Hawaii
67
T40
8
T32
+1.3
0.00
0.00
2014WinCo Foods Portland Open presented by Kraft
73
T40
6
T46
-2.2
0.00
0.00
2016Wells Fargo Championship
71
T40
12
T28
+1.6
0.00
0.00
2019Shriners Hospitals for Children Open
68
T40
4
T36
+1.0
0.00
0.00
2023RBC Heritage
69
T41
10
T31
+1.9
0.00
0.00
2024RBC Heritage
65
T41
29
T12
+6.2
0.00
0.00
2014Web.com Tour Championship
66
T43
29
T14
+4.3
0.00
0.00
2021The Masters
72
T44
6
T38
+0.9
0.00
0.00
2022BMW Championship
68
T44
16
T28
+3.8
0.00
0.00
2017the Memorial Tournament presented by Nationwide
74
T44
4
T40
+0.5
0.00
0.00
2022PGA Championship
68
T45
15
T30
+4.2
0.00
0.00
2019BMW PGA Championship
74
T45
6
T51
-2.3
0.00
0.00
2022World Wide Technology Championship at Mayakoba
70
T45
T45
-0.5
0.00
0.00
2023The Genesis Invitational
67
T45
25
T20
+4.3
0.00
0.00
2016Quicken Loans National
77
T46
28
74
-5.9
0.00
0.00
2020World Golf Championships-FedEx St. Jude Invitational
74
T47
18
T65
-4.2
0.00
0.00
2019AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
70
T47
9
T38
+1.2
0.00
0.00
2017Shell Houston Open
68
T47
13
T34
+2.5
0.00
0.00
2024Wells Fargo Championship
74
T48
4
T52
-1.0
0.00
0.00
2020ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP
73
T48
11
T59
-2.8
0.00
0.00
2023FedEx St. Jude Championship
73
T50
14
64
-3.5
0.00
0.00
2019Wells Fargo Championship
74
T51
9
T60
-2.2
0.00
0.00
2019Valero Texas Open
73
T52
9
T61
-2.2
0.00
0.00
2014El Bosque Mexico Championship
67
T53
29
T24
+3.9
0.00
0.00
2012BMW Charity Pro-Am presented by SYNNEX Corporation
75
T53
12
65
-5.7
0.00
0.00
2015BMW Championship
68
T54
7
T47
+2.5
0.00
0.00
2018THE PLAYERS Championship
71
T55
2
T57
-0.2
0.00
0.00
2022The Open Championship
66
T55
27
T28
+4.2
0.00
0.00
2022The Genesis Invitational
68
T55
22
T33
+3.5
0.00
0.00
2014Cleveland Open
70
T56
6
T50
-0.8
0.00
0.00
2022THE CJ CUP @ SUMMIT
65
T56
11
T45
+3.6
0.00
0.00
2018PGA Championship
68
T57
15
T42
+2.0
0.00
0.00
2020The Genesis Invitational
72
T57
6
T51
+0.6
0.00
0.00
2023PGA Championship
77
T58
14
T72
-5.6
0.00
0.00
2022The American Express
69
T59
19
T40
+2.2
0.00
0.00
2015Northern Trust Open
73
T59
3
T56
-0.1
0.00
0.00
2016BMW Championship
79
T59
7
T66
-7.3
0.00
0.00
2016RBC Canadian Open
73
T60
10
T70
-2.9
0.00
0.00
2015Valero Texas Open
77
T61
7
T68
-3.5
0.00
0.00
2024AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
67
T62
15
T47
+2.9
N/A
N/A
2015Shell Houston Open
68
T63
21
T42
+3.4
0.00
0.00
2016Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by MasterCard
67
T64
21
T43
+4.3
0.00
0.00
2017Dell Technologies Championship
71
T66
1
T65
-0.2
0.00
0.00
2018Wells Fargo Championship
66
T66
45
T21
+6.4
0.00
0.00
2007U.S. Bank Championship in Milwaukee
72
70
T70
-1.9
0.00
0.00
2015RBC Canadian Open
65
T70
48
T22
+6.2
0.00
0.00