PGA Tour
| FedExCup |
Projected Standings
UPDATED —
2026 Projected FedExCup Standings
FedExCup Model Methodology
The projections below are based on 10,000 simulations of the remainder of the 2026 PGA Tour season.
Events are played sequentially in each simulation, with players' skill levels evolving
based on performance. Various standings (Next 10, Swing 5) are updated along the way
to determine eligibility for future events. The most uncertain part of this process is predicting
who plays in which events. You can view our projected schedules for each
player here.
Important Cutoffs
in ...
Top 70 after Wyndham Championship
Top 70 qualify for the Playoffs and secure their 2027 PGA Tour card (regardless of what happens during the FedExCup Fall).
Projected Point Cutoff
in ...
Top 50 after FedEx St. Jude
Top 50 advance to the BMW Championship and secure their spot in the 2027 Signature Events.
Projected Point Cutoff
in ...
Top 30 after BMW Championship
Top 30 advance to the TOUR Championship, secure their 2028 PGA Tour card, and qualify for the 2027 Masters, U.S. Open, and Open.
Projected Point Cutoff
end of season
Top 100 after the FedExCup Fall
Top 100 after the final event earn their 2027 PGA Tour cards (to be confirmed).
Projected Point Cutoff
n/a
Projected Churn
Projected Churn Matrix
The churn matrix shows our projected flow of players from start-of-year priority category to
end-of-season FedExCup rank.
For example, the first cell indicates that we currently project 29.2 players who finished
in last year's FedExCup Top 50 to finish inside the Top 50 this season.
Projected FedExCup Finish
Start-of-Year Priority
Top 50
51-70
71-100
101+
Top 50
51-70
71-100
DP World 10
Korn Ferry 20
Q-School 5
101-125
Others (126+, medicals, ams, etc.)
Probability of Ending Season
Projections (Post-Wyndham)
Rank
Player
Starts
Starts
Points
Proj. Points
Top 70
Top 50
Top 30
Champ Top 100