In case you didn’t know, we’ve been tracking the outright odds on a few books leading into The Masters
(this is the last week before Masters odds are paywalled!), alongside our model predictions.
If you came here for a little betting advice, you’re in luck! Here’s how Hideki’s odds have evolved over the past month:
Since the start of 2020, Matsuyama has been playing some very solid golf
— but hasn’t quite done enough to really catch the eye of the betting markets (his best finish was T5 at Genesis).
Furthermore, he’s primarily been gaining strokes through elite ball striking, which our model values more in making predictions, especially at Augusta National
For these reasons our model thinks the market is sleeping on Deki, and prices him at just under 5% to win The Masters, well above the implied probability offered at some popular sportsbooks.